也许病毒的增长并没有那么可怕
[size=4]也许病毒的增长并没有那么可怕[/size][size=4]来源：[/size][url=http://www.avertlabs.com/research/blog/index.php/2008/07/01/the-end-of-exponential-malware-growth/][size=4][color=#0000ff]http://www.avertlabs.com/research/blog/index.php/2008/07/01/the-end-of-exponential-malware-growth/[/color][/size][/url][size=4]乱译：袋鼠
While reading my colleague François Paget’s [/size][url=http://www.avertlabs.com/research/blog/index.php/2008/06/19/i-say-we-are-detecting-between-400-000-and-10-000-000-malware/][size=4][color=#0000ff]recent blog[/color][/size][/url][size=4] about detection numbers, I noticed that something about the graph illustrating the growth of the collection maintained by [/size][url=http://www.av-test.org/][size=4][color=#0000ff]AV-Test.org[/color][/size][/url][size=4] seemed a bit odd.
阅读我哥们Francois Paget最近写的那篇关于病毒检出数目的日志，我在那张反映AV-Test.org收集样本增长情况的示意图中，注意到一些不寻常的内容。
[img]http://vil.nai.com/images/tdi080701_11.jpg[/img]
The last few months showed a bigger total size than indicated by the forecast line, which is an exponential function. By looking more closely at the statistics of monthly growth we can see why:
最近几月的情况，病毒总量的增长超过预测水平（即蓝色柱超过红色线），而预期增长方式为指数式。通过更进一步地观察月度增长数据图，我们可以发现其中的原因：
[img]http://vil.nai.com/images/tdi080701_21.jpg[/img]
During the last couple of months there is no longer an increase in the number of new samples added. The growth is no longer exponential but linear, averaging around 600,000 samples added each month. Looking at our own numbers of new samples, I can confirm this new linear growth.
在近几个月内，(av-test)月度新增样本数额并没怎么增长。病毒总量的增长不再呈指数形式的而是线性模式。新样本以大约每月60万的速度增加。参证于McAfee自己新样本增加的状况，我可以肯定这种新的线性式增长模式是存在的。
Why is this a big deal? For years the security industry has been fighting an uphill battle–with the number of new samples increasing every month at an alarming rate. Now with constant, though still massive, growth there is some light at the end of the tunnel. If this trend keeps up, planning for future resources and technologies will become much easier and more manageable.
确认这个情况有什么意义呢？这些年来，安全业界一直在同病毒进行着一场不断升温的战斗——每月，新样本总量都以惊人的速度增长。而现在，尽管增长量仍旧很大，但却是一种持续稳定的增长，这就为我们的前途洒下一些光明。如果这个趋势继续保持，对未来应对策略与应对技术的制定将变得更加容易和易于掌控。
后面还有一段是关于检出数据的统计的，和本文无关，不翻译了。。。
第一幅图显示的是样本总量，
第二幅图显示的样本增长量，是不同的。
样本增长量的增长呈线性趋势，这是好的；所以带来样本总量以非指数形式增长。指数形式增长意味着激增，所以说前途是光明的。
[/size] 但总的来说，就是增长了嘛 读是英文字母 看不懂 俺也绝的就是病毒多了 出现太多了。
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